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急,请帮助一只笨鸟翻译一个术语

急,请帮助一只笨鸟翻译一个术语

请问“exante regime probability”是什么意思啊?也有可能是“ex ante regime probability",是什么状态概率?特别是那个"exante"是什么意思?请哪位好心的高人帮帮我这只笨鸟吧

[ 本帖最后由 小娴 于 2007-12-11 11:38 AM 编辑 ]

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回复 1# 的帖子

这个术语肯定是在特定语境下给出的.帮你查了一下.
The probability p1t is called ‘ex ante regime probability’, because it is based solely on information already available and because it forecasts the prevailing regime in the next period.
来自
Predicting recessions with interest rate spreads: a multicountry regime-switching analysis

R. Ahrens,  
Deka Investment GmbH, Financial Engineering & Consulting, Mainzer Landstrasse 50, D-60325, Frankfurt am Main, Germany

Available online 11 March 2002.

另外
In scientific discussions, a regime is a class of physical conditions, usually parameterised by some specific measures, where a particular physical phenomenon or boundary condition is significant. Very often a regime corresponds to a limiting condition.

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ex-ante是事前的意思。

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就是出现在这个语境中:回复 1# 的帖子这个术语肯定是在特定语境下给出的.帮你查了一下.
The probability p1t is called ‘ex ante regime probability’, because it is based solely on information already available and because it forecasts the prevailing regime in the next period
但我还是不知道该翻译成什么啊?

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